Category: NFL Picks

NFL Week 2 Recap

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

  • What a game. There was so much back and forth.
  • I thought the Pats outplayed the Dolphins but almost lost the game more than the Dolphins almost won.
  • I love how much pressure the Pats have been getting through 2 games.
  • Drake Maye and Rhamondre Stevenson played some of their best games ever.
  • TreVeyon Henderson needs to get the ball more, even with Stevenson playing well. Diddo about Stefon Diggs.

Picks:

Pats win ✅

Pats cover (+1.5) ✅

Under (43.5) ❌

Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs

A much better game than the Super Bowl even though the bar was low after that blowout. The Eagles are still the class of the NFL. Despite an 0-2 start, I will believe in the Chiefs until proven wrong.

Picks:

Eagles win ✅

Eagles cover (-1.5) ✅

Over (46.5) ❌

Game/Betting Pick Results

Game: 2-0 This Week (6-1 This Season) (93-40 All-Time)

Spread: 2-0 (6-1) (88-40-5)

O/U: 0-2 (1-6) (67-65-1)

NFL Week 2 Picks

New England Patriots (0-1) at Miami Dolphins (0-1)

Both teams took a lot of criticism this week. I think the Pats will take it as motivation and play better. The Dolphins just seem like a dumpster fire. I’ll take the Pats to win, cover (+1.5), and the under (43.5).

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-1)

An early season Super Bowl rematch. I think the Chiefs will be eager for revenge, but the Eagles are just the better team – especially with the Chiefs current wide receiver and offensive line situation. I’ll take the Eagles to win, cover (-1.5), and the over (46.5) to hit.

NFL Week 1 Reaction

Dallas Cowboys (0-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)

A really weird game all around. The lightning delay really threw everyone off. Also SpitGate and the overall chippiness distracted both teams.

Eagles win ✅

Cowboys cover (+8.5) ✅

Over 47.5 ❌

Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) vs Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) (In Brazil)

Massive win for the Chargers and their confidence as a team. The Chiefs will be fine.

Chiefs win ❌

Chiefs cover (-3) ❌

Over 46.5 ✅

Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) at New England Patriots (0-1)

Just a sloppy game all around from the Pats. They really could have won, but instead fall to 0-1.

Raiders win ✅

Raiders cover (+2.5) ✅

Over 44.5 ❌

Detroit Lions (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-0)

The Lions are struggling early and the Packers look fantastic. The Lions should settle in as the year goes on.

Packers win ✅

Packers cover (-2.5) ✅

Over 47.5 ❌

Baltimore Ravens (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)

One of the best SNF games in recent memory. Could end up being one of the best games all year.

Bills win ✅

Bills cover (+1.5) ✅

Under 50.5 ❌

Game/Betting Pick Results

Game: 4-1 (4-1 This Season) (91-40 All-Time)

Spread: 4-1 (4-1) (86-40-5)

O/U: 1-4 (1-4) (67-63-1)

NFL Week 1 Picks

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

Two Patriots young stars are dealing with injuries. Christian Gonzalez is out and Will Campbell is dealing with an injury. I think the Raiders win, cover (+2.5), and the over (44.5) hits.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

I think the Packers win, cover (-2.5), and the over (47.5) hits.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

I’ll take the Bills to win, cover (+1.5), and the under (50.5) to hit.

Final Stats for Betting and Game Picks

This was another successful year of picking winners of games as well as spread and over/under picks.

I went 49-23 picking who would win each game I covered for a winning percentage of 68.1%. My all-time record is 87-39 for a winning percentage of 69.0%.

For spreads, I went 43-25-4 and hit on 63.2% of those picks. All-time, I am 82-39-5 for a hit percentage of 67.8%.

For over/unders, I went 37-35 and hit on 51.4% of those picks. All-time, I am 66-59-1 for a hit percentage of 52.8%.

Super Bowl Reaction

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

One of the most shocking Super Bowls ever. This game was never close.

It’s so interesting how impactful one game can be on people’s legacies. If the Chiefs win they would threepeat and cement themselves as maybe the greatest dynasty ever. People would probably be calling Mahomes the GOAT, he would be 4-1 in Super Bowls, and he would only be 3 away from catching Brady. People would likely be calling Andy Reid the greatest coach ever too.

Instead, Mahomes falls to 3-2 in Super Bowls and both of his losses were absolute blow outs. In 5 Super Bowls, he has thrown 7 INTs. In 10 Super Bowls, Brady threw just 6 INTs. Andy Reid now falls to 3-3 in Super Bowls compared to Belichick being 6-3.

And here’s the thing, we don’t know if they’ll ever win it again. They probably will, but you never know. Brady and Belichick went 10 years without winning the Big One. It happens.

On the flip side, instead of Hurts falling to 0-2, in the Super Bowl, he now gets the win and was Super Bowl MVP. He has the most rushing TDs by a QB in playoff history. And he’s only 26 and on a stacked team that will continue to compete. 22 other QBs have won Super Bowl MVP and 16/22 are either in or going to the HOF. That puts Hurts in rare company. Hurts now is the only other QB in his “generation” other than Mahomes to win the Super Bowl and/or Super Bowl MVP.

Game/Betting Pick Results

Game: 0-1 (49-23 This Season) (87-39 All-Time)

Spread: 0-1 (43-25-4) (82-39-5)

O/U: 1-0 (37-35) (66-59-1)