End of Season Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs in the NFL. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform moving forward.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Do I even have to explain?

2. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow had a tough year, first dealing with a nagging calf injury that hampered him the first 4 games, then going on IR after the 10th game of the year. During the 5.5 games he was healthy, he threw for 13 TDs and showed how good he is.

3. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the modern day Brett Favre. He is an absurd athlete who routinely makes jaw dropping plays. He will also go rouge every now and then and make you ask yourself what the hell he is doing. His 173 total TDs the past 4 years make up for those mistakes.

4. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar balled out and won his 2nd league MVP this year. He is one of the most athletic players we’ve ever seen and can do things at QB that no one else in the league can. He needs to play better in the playoffs though.

5. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert is insanely talented, but has struggled to win. The lack of coaching and injuries around him in the past is reasonable enough to blame. However, with Jim Harbaugh now his coach, there are no more excuses. He needs to start winning games and making runs in the postseason.

6. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts is a special QB and a great duel threat. He had some up and down moments this year, but the season ended on a bad note. He will need to shake it off next year.

7. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

This season did not go as he wanted it to, however, I am still a believer that this all-time great will come back with a splash next year.

8. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak played great at times this year, but does not always bring it during big games.

9. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence struggled this year, especially when his team needed him down the stretch. He’ll need to work out some kinks this offseason to return to the player he was last year.

10. Brock Purdy, San Franciso 49ers

He is definitely aided by his coach and playmakers around him, but he still gets them the ball and plays great. My only concern is that he struggles to bring his team back if they get too far behind.

On the Bubble:

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

He’s a solid starting QB, but is limited.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

Stroud established himself as one of the best young QBs in the league this year. Should he continue to develop, he could easily enter the top 10 next year.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk’s absence shows the Vikings and the world how good he really is. He just doesn’t get it done in the playoffs.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

He’s a very similar QB to Brock Purdy. I give Purdy the slight edge, because I trust him more in big games.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

I still am a Russ believer. He played well this year despite the fact that he did not have that much talent around him. I think Sean Payton scapegoating him for all of Denver’s woes is laughable. He may not be at his peak anymore, but is still a good starting quarterback.

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

He rebounded well this year and led a young team to the playoffs. I still think he’s slightly overrated.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Kyler has all the talent in the world and he played well in limited action this season. I’m excited to see him back to full strength next year for an entire season.

Super Bowl Reaction

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Wow. We can officially anoint the Chiefs as a dynasty. Mahomes is already a Top 5 QB all time and Andy Reid a Top 5 coach. The fact they won during a year many people wrote them off and were “worried” about them shows their dominance. They have a great all around organization from the front office to the coaches to the players. They will be a problem for the foreseeable future.

The 49ers once again come so close without winning. They had a more talented team and honestly outplayed the Chiefs. But the Chiefs won, and that’s all that matters in the Super Bowl. With an older team, you have to wonder if they’ll be able to get back here again soon.

Once again, the football season sadly comes to an end. It was a great and unique season and reminds us why the NFL is the best sports league in the world.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 0-1 (42-18 Overall)

Spread: 0-1 (42-17-1)

O/U: 0-1 (31-28-1)

Super Bowl Preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

The most perfect matchup for the game we’ve been waiting for all year. A potential dynasty is on the line for the Chiefs. While the 49ers have come so close the past 5 years and are hungry to win one. It’s worth noting that the Chiefs potential dynasty started with a win vs the 49ers. It can now be cemented or prevented against the Niners. I think the 49ers win, cover (-2), and the over (47.5) hits.

Evaluating my Beginning of the Year Predictions

This was a wild year with many ups and downs in the NFL and CFB. At the beginning of the year, I made numerous predictions on what would happen this season and below are some of the best predictions I made:

  • I correctly picked the winner of 71% (42/59) of the games I covered this season.
  • I hit on 72% (42/58) of the spreads I picked this year.
  • I hit on 53% (31/58) of the over/unders I picked this year.
  • All told, I hit on 63% (73/116) of the betting picks I made this year.
  • Michigan won the CFP Championship.
  • Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, and San Francisco 49ers won their divisions.
  • Baltimore Ravens, Philadelphia Eagles, and Dallas Cowboys made the playoffs.
  • San Francisco 49ers made the Super Bowl
  • Kansas City Chiefs made the AFC Championship Game
  • Josh McDaniels got fired as the Raiders coach.
  • Ron Rivera was fired as the Commanders coach.
  • Bill Belichick and the Pats parted ways at the end of the year.
  • Jared Goff threw 30 TDs this year.
  • Kenny Pickett showed very few signs of looking like a quality starting QB.
  • Shane Steichen and the Colts surprised people.

Championship Week Reaction

Detroit Lions (3) @ San Franciso 49ers (1)

The 49ers are the most talented team in the league and have lived up to the massive expectations they had set for them. It was an amazing comeback and now they have a chance for redemption in a rematch vs the Chiefs. What a Super Bowl it’s going to be.

You have to feel for the Lions as their amazing year ends with a crushing blown lead. They are so young and talented, you have to believe they’ll back even better next year.

Kansas City Chiefs (3) @ Baltimore Ravens (1)

Wow. I picked the Chiefs to win and cover but it still shocks me a little. Baltimore was the better, more talented team this year. But the Chiefs are the Chiefs. They have the best QB and coach in the NFL and they know how to win. They remind me so much of the Pats dynasty, it’s crazy. They underwhelmed all year, but here they are back in the Super Bowl.

Now we just need Brock Purdy to be what Eli Manning was to the Pats.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 2-0 (42-17 Overall)

Spread: 2-0 (42-16-1)

O/U: 0-2 (31-27-1)

Championship Week Preview

Detroit Lions (3) @ San Franciso 49ers (1)

Regardless of who wins, I’ll be rooting for the NFC winner in the Super Bowl. The 49ers are a juggernaut and the most talented team in the league. The Lions are a great all around team and so easy to root for. I give the slight edge to the 49ers and think they win, the Lions cover (+7), and the under (51) hits.

Kansas City Chiefs (3) @ Baltimore Ravens (1)

This is one of those games where I don’t know who to root for because I hate both teams so much. In a close game, I think the Chiefs win, cover (+3.5), and the over (44.5) hits.

Playoff Prediction

My playoff predictions are listed below. My predicted winners are bolded for each game.

Wild Card Round

AFC

2 Buffalo Bills vs. 7 Pittsburgh Steelers

3 Kansas City Chiefs vs 6 Miami Dolphins

4 Houston Texans vs 5 Cleveland Browns

NFC

2 Dallas Cowboys vs 7 Green Bay Packers

3 Detroit Lions vs 6 LA Rams

4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs 5 Philadelphia Eagles

Divisional Round

AFC

1 Baltimore Ravens vs 5 Cleveland Browns

2 Buffalo Bills vs 3 Kansas City Chiefs

NFC

1 San Francisco 49ers vs 5 Philadelphia Eagles

2 Dallas Cowboys vs 3 Detroit Lions

Conference Championships

AFC

1 Baltimore Ravens vs 2 Buffalo Bills

NFC

1 San Francisco 49ers vs 2 Dallas Cowboys

Super Bowl

San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills

Super Bowl Winner

San Francisco 49ers

End of Regular Season Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs in the NFL. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform in the postseason (if applicable) and next year.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He had his worst season as a pro this year and still led his team to the AFC West title, won 11 games, and threw for 27 TDs. He would be the consensus pick if you were starting an NFL team right now and is dangerous in the postseason.

2. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow had a tough year, first dealing with a nagging calf injury that hampered him the first 4 games, then going on IR after the 10th game of the year. During the 5.5 games he was healthy, he threw for 13 TDs and showed how good he is when healthy.

3. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the modern day Brett Favre. He is an absurd athlete who routinely makes jaw dropping plays. He will also go rouge every now and then and make you ask yourself what the hell he is doing. His 173 total TDs the past 4 years, make up for those mistakes.

4. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar balled out and will be the league MVP this year. He is one of the most athletic players we’ve ever seen and can do things at QB that no one else in the league can. He needs to prove himself in the playoffs, but if he does, he will move up this list.

5. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert is insanely talented, but cannot win. I know he’s had horrible coaching his first 4 years, but the hope now is that he can get a coach who knows what they’re doing and starting winning big games. If that happens, the sky is the limit for him.

6. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts is a special QB and a great duel threat. He had some up and down moments this year, but a great postseason run will launch him up this list.

7. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

This season did not go as he wanted it to, however, I am still a believer that this all-time great will come back with a splash next year.

8. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak played great at times this year, but does not always bring it during big games.

9. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence struggled this year, especially when his team needed him down the stretch. He’ll need to work out some kinks this offseason to return to the player he was last year.

10. Brock Purdy, San Franciso 49ers

He is definitely aided by his coach and playmakers around him, but he still gets them the ball and plays great. My only concern is that he struggles to bring his team back if they get too far behind.

On the Bubble:

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

He’s a solid starting QB, but is limited. We’ll see how he plays in the playoffs.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

Stroud established himself as one of the best young QBs in the league this year. Should he continue to develop, he could easily enter the top 10 next year.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk’s absence shows the Vikings and the world how good he really is. He just doesn’t get it done in the playoffs.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

He’s a very similar QB to Brock Purdy. I give Purdy the slight edge, because I trust him more in big games.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

I still am a Russ believer. He played well this year despite the fact that he did not have that much talent around him. I think Sean Payton scapegoating him for all of Denver’s woes is laughable. He may not be at his peak anymore, but is still a good starting quarterback.

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

He rebounded well this year and led a young team to the playoffs. I still think he’s slightly overrated.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Kyler has all the talent in the world and he played well in limited action this season. I’m excited to see him back to full strength next year for an entire season.

Week 16 Reaction

Dallas Cowboys (10-5) @ Miami Dolphins (11-4)

A back and forth game ends with the Dolphins pulling it out. They are in the drivers seat for the division title and have a shot at the 1 seed. The Cowboys keep putting themselves in danger of not winning the division and being a wild card team.

New England Patriots (4-11) @ Denver Broncos (7-8)

It’s great to see the Pats win in the moment, but long term it’s not great as they now have the 4th pick in the draft. It’s good to see Zappe play well though, as he’s proved that he should’ve been starting much earlier this year. Regardless of what pick they get, the Pats should be able to draft a game changer on offense.

The Broncos just looked awful. A team like that has no business being in the playoffs and it looks like they won’t make it now.

Baltimore Ravens (12-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (11-4)

This was a sloppy game for the 49ers. They moved the ball just as well as the Ravens but the Ravens finished drives and didn’t turn the ball over. I’m shocked to say that Baltimore can claim that they are the best team in the league right now. I still don’t see the Ravens making the Super Bowl because they are not good at coming from behind against good teams. The 49ers will be fine and should rebound next week.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 0-3 (34-16 Overall)

Spread: 0-3 (35-14-1)

O/U: 1-2 (27-22-1)

Week 16 Prediction

Dallas Cowboys (10-4) @ Miami Dolphins (10-4)

Huge game for both of these teams as they do not want to risk not winning their division and being a wild card. These teams have been similar this year, as they tend to beat up on bad teams but play poorly against good ones. After getting crushed last week, I think Dallas wins, covers (+1), and the over (50) hits.

New England Patriots (3-11) @ Denver Broncos (7-7)

The Broncos were pronounced dead after getting crushed by the Dolphins in Week 3. They have quietly fought back to the playoff race and face the Pats who have nothing to lose. The Broncos will win, cover (-7), and the under (34) will hit.

Baltimore Ravens (11-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (11-3)

The game of the year so far. I absolutely cannot wait for this potential Super Bowl matchup. I think the 49ers are just straight up better and will win, cover (-5.5), and the over (47) will hit.