Tag: Quarterback

End of Regular Season Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs in the NFL. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform in the postseason (if applicable) and next year.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He had his worst season as a pro this year and still led his team to the AFC West title, won 11 games, and threw for 27 TDs. He would be the consensus pick if you were starting an NFL team right now and is dangerous in the postseason.

2. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow had a tough year, first dealing with a nagging calf injury that hampered him the first 4 games, then going on IR after the 10th game of the year. During the 5.5 games he was healthy, he threw for 13 TDs and showed how good he is when healthy.

3. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the modern day Brett Favre. He is an absurd athlete who routinely makes jaw dropping plays. He will also go rouge every now and then and make you ask yourself what the hell he is doing. His 173 total TDs the past 4 years, make up for those mistakes.

4. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar balled out and will be the league MVP this year. He is one of the most athletic players we’ve ever seen and can do things at QB that no one else in the league can. He needs to prove himself in the playoffs, but if he does, he will move up this list.

5. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert is insanely talented, but cannot win. I know he’s had horrible coaching his first 4 years, but the hope now is that he can get a coach who knows what they’re doing and starting winning big games. If that happens, the sky is the limit for him.

6. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts is a special QB and a great duel threat. He had some up and down moments this year, but a great postseason run will launch him up this list.

7. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

This season did not go as he wanted it to, however, I am still a believer that this all-time great will come back with a splash next year.

8. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak played great at times this year, but does not always bring it during big games.

9. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence struggled this year, especially when his team needed him down the stretch. He’ll need to work out some kinks this offseason to return to the player he was last year.

10. Brock Purdy, San Franciso 49ers

He is definitely aided by his coach and playmakers around him, but he still gets them the ball and plays great. My only concern is that he struggles to bring his team back if they get too far behind.

On the Bubble:

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

He’s a solid starting QB, but is limited. We’ll see how he plays in the playoffs.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

Stroud established himself as one of the best young QBs in the league this year. Should he continue to develop, he could easily enter the top 10 next year.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk’s absence shows the Vikings and the world how good he really is. He just doesn’t get it done in the playoffs.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

He’s a very similar QB to Brock Purdy. I give Purdy the slight edge, because I trust him more in big games.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

I still am a Russ believer. He played well this year despite the fact that he did not have that much talent around him. I think Sean Payton scapegoating him for all of Denver’s woes is laughable. He may not be at his peak anymore, but is still a good starting quarterback.

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

He rebounded well this year and led a young team to the playoffs. I still think he’s slightly overrated.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Kyler has all the talent in the world and he played well in limited action this season. I’m excited to see him back to full strength next year for an entire season.

NFL Week 18 Reaction

Buffalo Bills (11-6) @ Miami Dolphins (11-6)

The Bills dominated this game, with the exception of the red zone. The Bills are a better team than the Dolphins and it showed each time they played them. The win now gives the Bills the 2 seed and a much easier path to the Super Bowl. The Dolphins now have to play the defending champions on the road and will likely not last long in the playoffs.

New England Patriots (4-13) @ New York Jets (7-10)

The snow plus two inept offenses led to a very unexciting game. New England finishes 4-13 for their worst season since 1992. I was hoping the Pats would get the number 2 pick, but we have to settle for 3.

The biggest news obviously is that this could be Bill Belichick’s last game as the Patriots coach. As a Pats fan. I’m forever thankful for him. He is the greatest coach in NFL history and one of the greatest GMs in NFL history. He made some amazing draft picks, free agent signings, trades, and personnel decisions that helped the Pats dominate the league for 2 decades. Their run from 2001-2018 has never been done before and never will be done again. Anyone who thinks the past 4 years have diminished Bill’s legacy is a casual fan who doesn’t know football. We were all spoiled to have him as a coach/GM and I wish him nothing but the best.

This is likely Matthew Slater’s last game too. The fact that a guy who was a special teams player has the level of respect that Slate does, shows how great of a player and teammate he is. His play and leadership will be missed.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 2-0 (38-16 Overall)

Spread: 2-0 (39-14-1)

O/U: 0-2 (29-24-1)

Week 16 Prediction

Dallas Cowboys (10-4) @ Miami Dolphins (10-4)

Huge game for both of these teams as they do not want to risk not winning their division and being a wild card. These teams have been similar this year, as they tend to beat up on bad teams but play poorly against good ones. After getting crushed last week, I think Dallas wins, covers (+1), and the over (50) hits.

New England Patriots (3-11) @ Denver Broncos (7-7)

The Broncos were pronounced dead after getting crushed by the Dolphins in Week 3. They have quietly fought back to the playoff race and face the Pats who have nothing to lose. The Broncos will win, cover (-7), and the under (34) will hit.

Baltimore Ravens (11-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (11-3)

The game of the year so far. I absolutely cannot wait for this potential Super Bowl matchup. I think the 49ers are just straight up better and will win, cover (-5.5), and the over (47) will hit.

Week 15 Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) @ New England Patriots (3-10)

I can smell a blowout brewing. The Chiefs are absolutely pissed off from last week’s game, have never lost three in a row with Mahomes, and their season is teetering on the edge of going downhill. With the worst team in the AFC across from them, I think the Chiefs blowout the Pats, cover (-7.5), and the over (37) hits.

Side note: the news about Bill already being gone come season end is sad to hear, no matter how bad they have been. I’m not sure if it’s true, but regardless, it probably won’t help the beatdown Pat’s morale.

Dallas Cowboys (10-3) @ Buffalo Bills (7-6)

The best matchup of the weekend features the leading MVP candidate… and Josh Allen. The Cowboys know they need to win all of their remaining games to have a shot at the 1 seed and the division. The Bills are coming off a crazy game and also need to win out to guarantee a spot in the playoffs. Don’t count the Bills out from winning the division either. They already beat Miami head to head, play them again, and have an easier remaining schedule. I think the Bills win, cover (-2), and the over (50.5) hits.

Baltimore Ravens (10-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5)

Two of the AFC’s best teams square off in a game with big divisional and conference implications. I think the Ravens win, cover (-3), and the over (42.5) hits.

Week 13 Reaction

Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) at New England Patriots (2-10)

Another classic Pats game where the defense played well and the offense looked like they were trying to score on a field 200 yards long. Even though they got shut out, Bailey Zappe looked better than Mac has looked this year. He is more athletic and has a better arm. We know that Mac is terrible. Zappe deserves to start the rest of the year and we can see if he has value as a backup.

Outside of QB, the Pats Oline was terrible and gave the team no chance to win. Rhamondre Stevenson getting hurt is another tough blow for this depleted team. It wouldn’t be surprising if they don’t win another game this year.

The Chargers defense finally won them a game, but even so the fact they barley beat the worst team in the AFC is not a good look for Brandon Staley.

San Francisco 49ers (9-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-2)

A statement game for the 49ers. They completely dominated the Eagles despite gaining -6 yards in the 1st quarter. They have won 4 in a row and now have the tiebreaker over the Eagles and Cowboys for the #1 seed in the NFC. With all the talent the 49ers have on both sides of the ball, it’s not surprising they are the current Super Bowl favorite.

The Eagles should be fine. They have been winning really close games all year despite looking sloppy at times. This is the kind of wake up call they needed to resettle themselves and finish strong. A win vs the Cowboys next week would have them right on track to win the division and get the #1 seed.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 2-0 (31-11 Overall)

Spread: 2-0 (31-10-1)

O/U: 0-2 (24-17-1)

Week 12 Reaction

New England Patriots (2-9) @ New York Giants (4-8)

This game went exactly how people thought it would. The Pats defense played amazing and the only reason the Giants even scored twice was due to awful turnovers. The Pats offense was terrible and it’s hard to imagine Mac starts next week or the rest of the year.

Buffalo Bills (6-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)

This game lived up to all its hype. The Eagles continue to show they can always find a way to win. The Bills show that they can still play with anyone. Buffalo is a good team that needs to regroup and get it together for the final stretch.

Baltimore Ravens (9-3) @ Los Angeles Chargers (4-7)

I am not a big believer in the Ravens, but they continue to prove me wrong and are currently the one seed in the AFC. They have a tough remaining schedule, but the AFC is wide open right now.

Brandon Staley likely won’t be coaching the Chargers come next year. It’s inexcusable to be 4-7 with the talent this team has. The Chargers have 3 winnable games in a row. If they falter in this stretch, he may get fired before the season ends.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 2-1 (29-11 Overall)

Spread: 1-1-1 (29-10-1)

O/U: 3-0 (24-15-1)

Week 10 Reaction

Indianapolis Colts (5-5) @ New England Patriots (2-8) (In Germany)

The Mac Jones “era” may be over. Lets just hope the Pats don’t lose to the bye week.

San Francisco 49ers (6-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (6-3)

This was way more lopsided than anyone thought it would be. The Jags should bounce back fine though.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 2-0 (26-9 Overall)

Spread: 2-0 (27-8)

O/U: 2-0 (19-15-1)

Midseason Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs right now. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead both the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform the rest of this year. Only active QBs are included (i.e. Aaron Rodgers was not considered).

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He has not looked like his usual self, but is still playing good football. I expect him to only get better and kick it into full gear by the time the playoffs start.

2. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert has once again been great despite lackluster coaching. He will need to continue to play this way if the Chargers have a shot at making the playoffs.

3. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow was not healthy the first four games this year and it showed with just 2 TDs. The past 4 games, he has been healthy and showed why he is one of the best QBs in the league with 10 TDs.

4. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the most physically gifted QB on this list and routinely makes jaw dropping plays. His one downside is he will throw awful interceptions from time to time that make you question his judgement.

5. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts has continued to show he is one of the best QBs in the league this season. His play the past 3 games has been spectacular, as he has put up 10 total TDs in that span and should continue to play this way for the remainder of the year.

6. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar has been playing his best football since his MVP season in 2019 and the Ravens are buzzing. If he stays healthy and the Ravens continue to win, he could win MVP again this year.

7. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence and the Jags have looked shaky on offense at times this year. Despite that, his talent is evident and he should improve the remainder of the year.

8. Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

A QB always bears some responsibility when his team is not playing well, but Russ is getting way too much hate. Everyone seems to just assume the Denver roster is filled with good players – it isn’t. Russ has played well despite everything going on around him. Talk of him being the main problem there is ridiculous.

9. Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua is doing a great job of getting the ball to the speedsters around him and he and the Miami offense are putting up big numbers.

10. Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

What a comeback story. Goff was cast aside by the Rams and just looked like a bridge QB for a rebuilding Lions team. Now he looks like a legitimate franchise QB again for a great Lions team.

On the Bubble:

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

He still needs to be carried by a great team to be effective and has not been the main reason his team is winning.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

I did not expect Stroud to be this good, much less this soon. He is playing great football and has led a team that had 3 wins last year to 4 wins already. If he keeps this up he, will crack the top 10 by end of year.

NFL Week 9 Prediction

Miami Dolphins (6-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

The top two seeds in the AFC face off in a huge matchup in Germany. The Dolphins have played well this year, but are 0-2 vs teams that have winning records. The Chiefs have only lost twice in a row three times ever in Mahomes’s career and will be motivated coming off a loss to the Broncos. The Chiefs will win, cover (-1.5), and the over (50.5) hits.

Washington Commanders (3-5) @ New England Patriots (2-6)

The Commander basically announced to the world that they are giving up on the year after trading away two great players who accounted for nearly half of the team’s sacks. While their morale may be low, the Pats probably feel even worse as injuries and poor play have made this a year from hell. The Commanders are still better than the Pats and I think they win, cover (+3), and the under (40.5) hits.

Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-1)

The Cowboys Cycle continues as they demolished the Rams last week. I think the Eagles have a lot of room to improve, and that they will win, cover (-3), and the under (46) hits.

Buffalo Bills (5-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (4-3)

The Bengals announced resoundingly that they were back last week vs the 49ers. The Bills have had a weird last 4 weeks, but are being written off more than they should. I think the Bills end up catching fire at the end of the season, but not starting this week. I think the Bengals win, cover (-2), and the over (49.5) hits.