Midseason Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs right now. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead both the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform the rest of this year. Only active QBs are included (i.e. Aaron Rodgers was not considered).

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He has not looked like his usual self, but is still playing good football. I expect him to only get better and kick it into full gear by the time the playoffs start.

2. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert has once again been great despite lackluster coaching. He will need to continue to play this way if the Chargers have a shot at making the playoffs.

3. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow was not healthy the first four games this year and it showed with just 2 TDs. The past 4 games, he has been healthy and showed why he is one of the best QBs in the league with 10 TDs.

4. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the most physically gifted QB on this list and routinely makes jaw dropping plays. His one downside is he will throw awful interceptions from time to time that make you question his judgement.

5. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts has continued to show he is one of the best QBs in the league this season. His play the past 3 games has been spectacular, as he has put up 10 total TDs in that span and should continue to play this way for the remainder of the year.

6. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar has been playing his best football since his MVP season in 2019 and the Ravens are buzzing. If he stays healthy and the Ravens continue to win, he could win MVP again this year.

7. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence and the Jags have looked shaky on offense at times this year. Despite that, his talent is evident and he should improve the remainder of the year.

8. Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

A QB always bears some responsibility when his team is not playing well, but Russ is getting way too much hate. Everyone seems to just assume the Denver roster is filled with good players – it isn’t. Russ has played well despite everything going on around him. Talk of him being the main problem there is ridiculous.

9. Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua is doing a great job of getting the ball to the speedsters around him and he and the Miami offense are putting up big numbers.

10. Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

What a comeback story. Goff was cast aside by the Rams and just looked like a bridge QB for a rebuilding Lions team. Now he looks like a legitimate franchise QB again for a great Lions team.

On the Bubble:

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

He still needs to be carried by a great team to be effective and has not been the main reason his team is winning.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

I did not expect Stroud to be this good, much less this soon. He is playing great football and has led a team that had 3 wins last year to 4 wins already. If he keeps this up he, will crack the top 10 by end of year.

NFL Week 9 Prediction

Miami Dolphins (6-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

The top two seeds in the AFC face off in a huge matchup in Germany. The Dolphins have played well this year, but are 0-2 vs teams that have winning records. The Chiefs have only lost twice in a row three times ever in Mahomes’s career and will be motivated coming off a loss to the Broncos. The Chiefs will win, cover (-1.5), and the over (50.5) hits.

Washington Commanders (3-5) @ New England Patriots (2-6)

The Commander basically announced to the world that they are giving up on the year after trading away two great players who accounted for nearly half of the team’s sacks. While their morale may be low, the Pats probably feel even worse as injuries and poor play have made this a year from hell. The Commanders are still better than the Pats and I think they win, cover (+3), and the under (40.5) hits.

Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-1)

The Cowboys Cycle continues as they demolished the Rams last week. I think the Eagles have a lot of room to improve, and that they will win, cover (-3), and the under (46) hits.

Buffalo Bills (5-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (4-3)

The Bengals announced resoundingly that they were back last week vs the 49ers. The Bills have had a weird last 4 weeks, but are being written off more than they should. I think the Bills end up catching fire at the end of the season, but not starting this week. I think the Bengals win, cover (-2), and the over (49.5) hits.

NFL Week 9 Reaction

Miami Dolphins (6-3) @ Kansas City Chiefs (7-2)

The Chiefs win a big game that could have important implications for home field in the AFC playoffs. The Chiefs don’t always look pretty but they keep finding a way to win. The Dolphins fall to 0-3 vs teams with winning records.

Washington Commanders (4-5) @ New England Patriots (2-7)

The Commanders stay alive in the playoff race and the Pats stay alive in the Caleb Williams sweepstakes.

Sam Howell looks like a potential franchise QB. He makes mistakes, but is basically still a rookie and has a spark to him.

Dallas Cowboys (5-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (8-1)

A very entertaining game where both teams nearly blew it. It ends with the better team winning.

Buffalo Bills (5-4) @ Cincinnati Bengals (5-3)

The Bills and Bengals are in 3rd and 4th places, respectively, in their division but I still feel like they a better suited to make a playoff run then every other team in their division. The Bengals have been back to their usual selves and I think their good play continues. The Bills have struggled lately but I think will start to rattle off some wins too. They are both better than their record indicates.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 4-0 (24-9 Overall)

Spread: 4-0 (25-8)

O/U: 1-3 (17-15-1)

NFL Week 7 Reaction

Buffalo Bills (4-3) @ New England Patriots (2-5)

Credit to Mac Jones and the Pats. They came out and played well versus a much better Bills team. And even after blowing a big lead, Mac led the team down the field in the clutch and made some huge throws. Congrats to Bill on 300.

Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-1)

The first half of this game was fun to watch and looked like it would be a shootout. In the second half, the Chiefs defense stepped up and the Chiefs showed they are still the top contenders in the AFC.

The Chargers season is on the line next week as they fall to 2-4 on the year.

Miami Dolphins (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (6-1)

The Eagles defense led the way to help Philly make their case as the best team in the league. Their jerseys were absolutely awesome too.

Betting Picks Results

Moneyline: 2-1 (18-9 Overall)

Spread: 1-2 (20-7)

O/U: 3-0 (15-11-1)

NFL Week 7 Predictions

Buffalo Bills (4-2) @ New England Patriots (1-5)

As overmatched as the Pats have looked vs the Bills in recent years, this Pats team is even worse. The Bills will win, cover (-8), and the over (40) hits.

Los Angeles Chargers (2-3) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-1)

A big game for a Chargers team that wants to get to .500 to get on track to make the playoffs. The Chiefs may be 5-1, but have not looked like their electric self on offense and have really relied on their defense to win games. I think the Chiefs win but the Chargers cover (+5.5) and the over hits (47.5).

Miami Dolphins (5-1) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-1)

A high profile matchup between two 5-1 teams. I think the Dolphins have looked better this year, but that the Eagles are the better team overall and will make it further in the playoffs. I think the Eagles win, cover (-3), and the under hits (51.5).

NFL Week 2 Preview

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals looked awful last weekend but there is no need to panic. They started off 0-2 last year and made it back to the AFC Championship. Not only are they 4-1 against the Ravens the last two seasons, but they are a better team than Baltimore. I think the Bengals win, cover (-3), and the over hits (46.5).

Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chiefs got some much needed motivation by losing the NFL season opener to the Lions. They will take that fire into this week and they are getting two of the best players in the league back in Travis Kelce and Chris Jones. The Jags are a good team, but the Chiefs with motivation are nearly impossible to beat. The Chiefs will win, cover (-3.5), and the under hits (51).

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots

Don’t believe the Tua hype after one game. I think Belichick and the great Pats defense find a way to shut down Tyreek Hill and force Tua to win the game -which he won’t. The Pats offense showed it has much more spark than last year and the Dolphins defense is much worse than the Eagles. I think the Pats win, cover (+3), and the under hits (46.5).

NFL Week 1 and CFB Week 2 Reaction

CFB

3 Alabama vs 11 Texas

Jalen Milroe is not a QB Alabama can rely on. He consistently did not make good decisions and is not a good enough passer to throw Bama back into games they are losing. On the flip side, Quinn Ewers played like a 1st round pick. He made big throws and made plays in big moments to lead Texas to victory.

Is this the end of the Alabama dynasty? Texas has much better skill position players than Bama and it showed Saturday. It is no coincidence that two of the biggest opponents to the transfer portal and/or NIL have been Saban and Dabo Sweeney and their programs have fallen off somewhat the past couple years. The transfer portal and NIL have started a new era of college football. Schools and coaches must either adapt or die.

22 Colorado vs Nebraska

Colorado keeps giving us reasons to think they’re legit. They didn’t even play that well and still beat a Nebraska team with a good defense 36-14. They should beat Colorado St. next week and have two straight tough tests with Oregon and USC back to back.

Nebraska QB Jeff Simms is hurting his team. Simms was responsible for FOUR fumbles (3 of which were lost) and threw an awful pick. If he doesn’t play that bad, Nebraska would’ve had a chance.

NFL

Patriots vs. Eagles

The Pats got off to such a shitty start and were not dynamic enough on offense to comeback. Mac Jones showed why he isn’t elite by squandering good field position multiple times when his team needed him. However, it was still a promising game as their defense played great and their offense looked way better than last year. If they can play like they did the last 3 quarters, they can fight for a playoff spot.

Eagles DT Jalen Carter was said to be the most talented player in the draft and he showed why Sunday. He had the most pressures of any player and looks like a force to be reckoned with.

Loved seeing Brady getting honored. Seems like there will be multiple honors for him, including inducting him into the Patriots HOF on 6/12/2024 (6 for the 6 Super Bowls he won with the Pats, 12 for his number). Of course, there will be his jersey retirement and statue unveiling too. Seeing all the fans and former teammates there shows how great of a player and person he was. Makes me realize how good us Pats fans had it and wish I appreciated it more.

Jets vs. Bills

The pregame ceremony was absolutely awesome. Seeing Aaron Rodgers run out with the American Flag was great and there was no better stadium to the host Sunday and Monday night games.

As a Pats fan, I genuinely feel bad for Jets fans. You never want to see a great player go down, especially when they just joined a new team. Here’s to hoping Rodgers makes a speedy recovery and comes back in full force next year.

Both the Jets and Bills have such great defenses, along with the Patriots. Putting up points against AFC East teams is going to be tough this year.

Josh Allen NEEDS to stop taking hits. He is a superstar quarterback, but if he keeps taking all these unnecessary hits, he is going to have a short career. His reckless play was evident in his 4 turnovers and general carelessness with the ball. He is amazing but needs to stop trying to be Superman.

Breece Hall is a great player and Zach Wilson still is not. The Jets will compete with their talent, but they will not make the playoffs with Wilson.

Overall

Picks: 2-2 (6-5 Overall)

Spread: 3-1 (8-3)

O/U: 1-2-1 (3-7-1)

NFL Week 1 and CFB Week 2 Preview

The King returns as the NFL season kicks off. CFB is back for Week 2 with some intriguing non-conference matchups.

CFB

3 Alabama vs 11 Texas

The game of the week between the two biggest brands in college football. After easy opening games, both teams are looking to prove something this week. Bama wants to show it is still dominant and new QB Jalen Milroe is the guy. Texas and Quinn Ewers want to show they are a CFP contender who can make some noise. I think Alabama wins this game, but does not cover (-7) and the under (53.5) hits.

22 Colorado vs Nebraska

This is Colorado’s chance to show last week was not a fluke. They face a team that also has a notable new coach in Matt Rhule, who is trying to return Nebraska to its glory days. Colorado’s offense looks so high powered and I don’t think a Nebraska team that looked flat last week will be able to keep up. Colorado wins, covers (-3), and the under (59) hits.

NFL

Patriots vs. Eagles

The Pats and Eagles square off in a rematch of Super Bowl LII. It’s an opportunity for the Pats to show that a real OC has given them back a real offense. Jalen Hurts and Co. will try to avoid a Super Bowl hangover and show last year wasn’t a fluke. The biggest storyline is the return of Tom Brady to New England. As a Pats fan, it’ll be great to see him back home and getting honored but… is there something more at play? Could they be trying to bring Tom back in some capacity as an emergency player, future exec, or something else? I fucking hope so. Regardless, I think the Eagles win, cover (-4), and the over hits (45).

Jets vs. Bills

Aaron Rodgers makes his debut in the Big Apple. The honeymoon period is officially over and now it’s all about winning games. Unfortunately for Jets fans, the Bills are a better football team with more chemistry. I think the Bills win, cover (-2.5), and the over (45.5) hits.

Top 10 QBs in the NFL

Below are my top 10 QBs for this year. I am not solely basing it off last year, but instead both the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform this year. I will update again at midseason.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

No explanation needed.

2. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert’s size, arm, and athleticism have led to him to have the most passing yards and 2nd most passing TDs by a QB in their first 3 seasons. Poor coaching and injuries to teammates have affected him, but the postseason wins will start to come.

3. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow has proven to us since college he is a gamer and a winner. His spectacular play will keep the Bengals contenders for years to come.

4. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

The most physically gifted QB I have ever seen. I worry all the hits will pile up, but for now he is dominant and fun to watch.

5. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

An all-time great QB who still has a lot to prove. The 4-time MVP is still good enough to add a 2nd ring to his legendary resume.

6. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

He jumped onto the scene as an MVP candidate last year. Will he be able to continue to build on his great play?

7. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

One of the highest rated QB prospects ever showed us how good he was last year. Like Hurts, it’s now about building on that and getting even better.

8. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar has proven he is the most athletic QB ever and can rack up the regular season wins. He now needs to stay healthy and start having more postseason success.

9. Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

I absolutely do not think his best days are behind him. With new coach Sean Payton, he may show he’s still a Top 5 QB this year.

10. Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns

He was rusty last year, but with an entire offseason to continue improving, I think we see the Houston Deshaun who was a borderline Top 5 QB.

On the Bubble:

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak needs so much help around him to be great and consistently does not lead his team deep in the playoffs.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk puts up big numbers, but does not get it done in the playoffs.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Super talented QB, but there are big questions about his durability and leadership

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

He is now in a situation similar to his Detroit days (albeit with a better coach). He wasn’t a top 10 QB then, and still is not now.