Wild Card Round Preview

6 Miami Dolphins @ 3 Kansas City Chiefs

I liked the Chiefs to win before I found out what the weather was gonna be, and now I love them. This will be the coldest game the Miami Dolphins have ever played in, with the wind chill bringing temperatures below 0. The Dolphins already struggle on the road and this is a cherry on top. I think the Chiefs win, cover (-4.5), and the under (43.5) hits.

6 LA Rams @ 3 Detroit Lions

It’s pretty insane how well the Rams-Lions trade worked out for both teams as they are now squaring off in the playoffs. In this game, I think the Lions are better, have more talent, and a deeper team than the Rams. The Lions will win, cover (-3), and over will (51.5) hit.

Playoff Prediction

My playoff predictions are listed below. My predicted winners are bolded for each game.

Wild Card Round

AFC

2 Buffalo Bills vs. 7 Pittsburgh Steelers

3 Kansas City Chiefs vs 6 Miami Dolphins

4 Houston Texans vs 5 Cleveland Browns

NFC

2 Dallas Cowboys vs 7 Green Bay Packers

3 Detroit Lions vs 6 LA Rams

4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs 5 Philadelphia Eagles

Divisional Round

AFC

1 Baltimore Ravens vs 5 Cleveland Browns

2 Buffalo Bills vs 3 Kansas City Chiefs

NFC

1 San Francisco 49ers vs 5 Philadelphia Eagles

2 Dallas Cowboys vs 3 Detroit Lions

Conference Championships

AFC

1 Baltimore Ravens vs 2 Buffalo Bills

NFC

1 San Francisco 49ers vs 2 Dallas Cowboys

Super Bowl

San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills

Super Bowl Winner

San Francisco 49ers

End of Regular Season Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs in the NFL. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform in the postseason (if applicable) and next year.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He had his worst season as a pro this year and still led his team to the AFC West title, won 11 games, and threw for 27 TDs. He would be the consensus pick if you were starting an NFL team right now and is dangerous in the postseason.

2. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow had a tough year, first dealing with a nagging calf injury that hampered him the first 4 games, then going on IR after the 10th game of the year. During the 5.5 games he was healthy, he threw for 13 TDs and showed how good he is when healthy.

3. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the modern day Brett Favre. He is an absurd athlete who routinely makes jaw dropping plays. He will also go rouge every now and then and make you ask yourself what the hell he is doing. His 173 total TDs the past 4 years, make up for those mistakes.

4. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar balled out and will be the league MVP this year. He is one of the most athletic players we’ve ever seen and can do things at QB that no one else in the league can. He needs to prove himself in the playoffs, but if he does, he will move up this list.

5. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert is insanely talented, but cannot win. I know he’s had horrible coaching his first 4 years, but the hope now is that he can get a coach who knows what they’re doing and starting winning big games. If that happens, the sky is the limit for him.

6. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts is a special QB and a great duel threat. He had some up and down moments this year, but a great postseason run will launch him up this list.

7. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

This season did not go as he wanted it to, however, I am still a believer that this all-time great will come back with a splash next year.

8. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak played great at times this year, but does not always bring it during big games.

9. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence struggled this year, especially when his team needed him down the stretch. He’ll need to work out some kinks this offseason to return to the player he was last year.

10. Brock Purdy, San Franciso 49ers

He is definitely aided by his coach and playmakers around him, but he still gets them the ball and plays great. My only concern is that he struggles to bring his team back if they get too far behind.

On the Bubble:

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

He’s a solid starting QB, but is limited. We’ll see how he plays in the playoffs.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

Stroud established himself as one of the best young QBs in the league this year. Should he continue to develop, he could easily enter the top 10 next year.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk’s absence shows the Vikings and the world how good he really is. He just doesn’t get it done in the playoffs.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

He’s a very similar QB to Brock Purdy. I give Purdy the slight edge, because I trust him more in big games.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

I still am a Russ believer. He played well this year despite the fact that he did not have that much talent around him. I think Sean Payton scapegoating him for all of Denver’s woes is laughable. He may not be at his peak anymore, but is still a good starting quarterback.

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

He rebounded well this year and led a young team to the playoffs. I still think he’s slightly overrated.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Kyler has all the talent in the world and he played well in limited action this season. I’m excited to see him back to full strength next year for an entire season.

Week 15 Reaction

Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) @ New England Patriots (3-11)

Not much to say here. The Chiefs were the better team and they played like it. It just would’ve been nice to see the Pats put in a little more effort at the end of the game. They had nothing to lose, so they should’ve played like it.

Dallas Cowboys (10-4) @ Buffalo Bills (8-6)

A dominant win by the Bills. These two teams are very similar in the sense that they can beat anybody and they can lose to anybody depending on how they play. The Bills are starting to catch fire and will be a team that no one wants to play in the playoffs.

Baltimore Ravens (11-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)

Not the smoothest game by either team but the Ravens pull it out as they usually do. They now have the inside track to the AFC 1 seed while the Jags gotta pull it together to ensure they win the division.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 3-0 (34-13 Overall)

Spread: 3-0 (35-11-1)

O/U: 1-2 (26-20-1)

Week 15 Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) @ New England Patriots (3-10)

I can smell a blowout brewing. The Chiefs are absolutely pissed off from last week’s game, have never lost three in a row with Mahomes, and their season is teetering on the edge of going downhill. With the worst team in the AFC across from them, I think the Chiefs blowout the Pats, cover (-7.5), and the over (37) hits.

Side note: the news about Bill already being gone come season end is sad to hear, no matter how bad they have been. I’m not sure if it’s true, but regardless, it probably won’t help the beatdown Pat’s morale.

Dallas Cowboys (10-3) @ Buffalo Bills (7-6)

The best matchup of the weekend features the leading MVP candidate… and Josh Allen. The Cowboys know they need to win all of their remaining games to have a shot at the 1 seed and the division. The Bills are coming off a crazy game and also need to win out to guarantee a spot in the playoffs. Don’t count the Bills out from winning the division either. They already beat Miami head to head, play them again, and have an easier remaining schedule. I think the Bills win, cover (-2), and the over (50.5) hits.

Baltimore Ravens (10-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5)

Two of the AFC’s best teams square off in a game with big divisional and conference implications. I think the Ravens win, cover (-3), and the over (42.5) hits.

Week 14 Reaction

New England Patriots (3-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)

Such an odd game as a Pats fan. On one hand I’m happy we won and beat the Steelers but also we have basically said goodbye for good to the first pick in the draft.

Our defense is absolutely amazing and it was good to see the offense do their part for once. I don’t know if Zappe is a starting QB but he’s got some juice to him.

The Steelers have to be the worst team with a winning record in the league. They have talent on their team but their offense is absolutely awful.

Buffalo Bills (7-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-5)

Another Bills vs Chiefs game that has a crazy finish. For the Bills, this is the type of the win that can save their season and launch them for the remainder of the year. For the Chiefs, they need to take a deep breath and relax. Mahomes should know that throwing a temper tantrum won’t get them anywhere. They should use this as motivation to finish the year the strong. They are too good of a team to let this tank their season.

Regardless of how this season plays out, the Chiefs will certainly look to trade for or draft a stud wide receiver. There is a lot of talented receivers out there and they would all love to play with Mahomes.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 0-2 (31-13 Overall)

Spread: 1-1 (32-11-1)

O/U: 1-1 (25-18-1)

Week 14 Prediction

New England Patriots (2-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5)

It’s crazy to think for the past 2 decades this was a marquee matchup between 2 legendary franchises with future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. Now it is a snoozefest matchup between two of the five worst offenses in football. Even with Kenny Pickett out, the Steelers are a better team and will win, the Patriots will cover (+6), and the under (30) will hit.

Buffalo Bills (6-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-4)

Two of the best QBs in the league face off in a high stakes matchup. The Bills need to win if they have a shot at the AFC East title and the Chiefs need to keep pace for the AFC 1 seed. The Chiefs are great coming of a loss and should win, cover (-1.5), and the under (48.5) will hit.

Week 11 Reaction

Cincinnati Bengals (5-5) @ Baltimore Ravens (8-3)

What a brutal game injury-wise for both teams, but especially the Bengals. They lose Joe Burrow for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. It always sucks to see great players get hurt, especially with Burrow who is so fun to watch and just started being himself after the calf injury he dealt with earlier this year. The Bengals fall to .500 and their season is likely over.

The Ravens got a huge win, but lose their star TE Mark Andrews for the rest of the year. He is their best weapon and this really hurts for a team who is 20th in the league in passing yards.

Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (7-3)

The rain and bad weather helped lead to a sloppy game from both teams. For the Eagles, they continue to win games even when they don’t play well. Even without Dallas Godert and AJ Brown only having one catch, the Eagles have enough firepower to comeback from down 10 to win the game.

The Chiefs are going to be competitive every single game, but their WRs problems will continue to be a thorn in their side. Mahomes will put the ball right in these guys hands and they will drop it like MVS did on what should have been a go ahead TD with under 2 minutes in the game. The AFC is wide open and the Chiefs are the clear favorite, but WR issues could easily cost the Chiefs a close playoff game.

Game/Betting Picks Results

Game: 1-1 (27-10 Overall)

Spread: 1-1 (28-9)

O/U: 2-0 (21-15-1)

Midseason Top 10 QBs

Below are my top 10 QBs right now. I am not solely basing it off this year, but instead both the last couple of years plus how I think they’ll perform the rest of this year. Only active QBs are included (i.e. Aaron Rodgers was not considered).

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

He has not looked like his usual self, but is still playing good football. I expect him to only get better and kick it into full gear by the time the playoffs start.

2. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert has once again been great despite lackluster coaching. He will need to continue to play this way if the Chargers have a shot at making the playoffs.

3. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow was not healthy the first four games this year and it showed with just 2 TDs. The past 4 games, he has been healthy and showed why he is one of the best QBs in the league with 10 TDs.

4. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Allen is the most physically gifted QB on this list and routinely makes jaw dropping plays. His one downside is he will throw awful interceptions from time to time that make you question his judgement.

5. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts has continued to show he is one of the best QBs in the league this season. His play the past 3 games has been spectacular, as he has put up 10 total TDs in that span and should continue to play this way for the remainder of the year.

6. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar has been playing his best football since his MVP season in 2019 and the Ravens are buzzing. If he stays healthy and the Ravens continue to win, he could win MVP again this year.

7. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lawrence and the Jags have looked shaky on offense at times this year. Despite that, his talent is evident and he should improve the remainder of the year.

8. Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

A QB always bears some responsibility when his team is not playing well, but Russ is getting way too much hate. Everyone seems to just assume the Denver roster is filled with good players – it isn’t. Russ has played well despite everything going on around him. Talk of him being the main problem there is ridiculous.

9. Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua is doing a great job of getting the ball to the speedsters around him and he and the Miami offense are putting up big numbers.

10. Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

What a comeback story. Goff was cast aside by the Rams and just looked like a bridge QB for a rebuilding Lions team. Now he looks like a legitimate franchise QB again for a great Lions team.

On the Bubble:

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

He still needs to be carried by a great team to be effective and has not been the main reason his team is winning.

CJ Stroud, Houston Texans

I did not expect Stroud to be this good, much less this soon. He is playing great football and has led a team that had 3 wins last year to 4 wins already. If he keeps this up he, will crack the top 10 by end of year.